Military
In my country, there are reports that the PRC has expressed intentions or has taken actions to establish bases.
2024
13/ 97
Affected Countries
Country
Score
Tajikistan
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
China's Military Base in Tajikistan: What Does It Mean? Link The presence of a Chinese military outpost in Tajikistan is so openly acknowledged at this point that even Tajik officials make little effort to hide it. Link Official authorities of Tajikistan deny the presence of a Chinese military base. However, it remains difficult for the authorities to completely deny the existence of certain physical infrastructure for military interaction between Tajikistan and China. Link The first Chinese military base appeared relatively recently in the Murghob district of Tajikistan’s Gorno-Badakhshan Autonomous Region, not far from the Afghan and Chinese borders. Officially, it is a border guard station for Tajik troops built using Chinese funds. In 2016, the Tajik and Chinese governments signed an agreement to build seven border posts and training centers along the Tajik-Afghan border. The Chinese allocated grants for this purpose and constructed three garrison headquarters, five border guard stations and posts, and one training center. Link In 2021, China’s military presence in Tajikistan came into question again. It was alleged that Beijing agreed to pay Dushanbe approximately $8.5 million for the construction of a paramilitary base on the border. Link
- https://www.cacianalyst.org/publications/analytical-articles/item/13569-chinas-military-base-in-tajikistan-what-does-it-mean?_html=
- https://eurasianet.org/tajikistan-secret-chinese-base-becomes-slightly-less-secret
- https://www.caa-network.org/archives/21363
- https://carnegie.ru/commentary/81402
- https://www.ankasam.org/tajikistan-china-military-cooperation/?lang=en
Supplementary Notes
Several American media outlets have reported that China is building a second military base in Tajikistan. Link
Answered by Umedjon Majidi, and has been reviewed by Aksana Akhmedova
Explore Tajikistan >Panama
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Professor Urcuyo from Costa Rica warned about the possible use of Isla Margarita for military purposes. Therefore, this indicator deserves a "Yes" response.
Answered by Alonso Illueca, and has been reviewed by Team Fundación Andrés Bello - Centro de Investigación Chino Latinoamericano
Explore Panama >Finland
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Richard Turcsányi
Explore Finland >Pakistan
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Reports of China's interest in developing a base in the port city of Gwadar are not new. Ties between the two militaries stretch back years, with their navies and air forces holding bilateral exercises in each other's territory.
- https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/china-seeks-new-fields-cooperation-with-pakistan-military-2023-05-08/;
- https://docs.aiddata.org/reports/harboring-global-ambitions/Harboring_Global_Ambitions.html
Answered by Shahzeb Jillani, and has been reviewed by Shahzada Zulfiqar
Explore Pakistan >Kenya
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
A 2021 report by the US Department of Defence said that the PRC was considering Kenya as locations for PLA facilities. Therefore, this Indicator deserves a "Yes" response.
- https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/news/article/2001385607/china-to-establish-military-base-in-kenya
- https://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/tea/news/east-africa/us-issues-warnings-over-china-plan-military-bases-kenya-3608702
Supplementary Notes
China has denied that it has any such plans for a base in Kenya. Link
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Kenya >Argentina
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
In addition to the Military Base in Neuquén, two dual-use observatories have been established in San Juan, and one more in Rio Gallegos, while a port with Antarctic projection and logistical assistance in the South Atlantic is being negotiated, to be located in Tierra del Fuego. There is also a Cooperation Agreement between the Government of the Argentine Republic and the Government of the People's Republic of China on the construction, establishment, and operation of a Chinese far space station in the province of Neuquén, Argentina, within the framework of the Chinese Program Moon Exploration, held in the City of Buenos Aires, on April 23, 2014. Therefore, this indicator deserves a "yes" response.
- https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Estaci%C3%B3n_de_Espacio_Lejano
- http://www.revista.unsj.edu.ar/?p=6398
- https://noticias.santacruz.gob.ar/gestion/gobierno/item/27767-alicia-este-observatorio-se-trata-de-una-construccion-colectiva
- https://newsargenchina.ar/contenido/4742/la-construccion-del-radiotelescopio-chino-argentino-en-san-juan-avanza-hacia-su-
- https://www4.hcdn.gob.ar/dependencias/dcomisiones/periodo-132/132-1751.pdf
- https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/gravity-china-s-space-base-argentina
- https://newsargenchina.ar/contenido/4391/cientificos-chinos-se-instalan-en-san-juan-para-trabajar-en-el-radiotelescopio-c
Supplementary Notes
Although the space station is declared to be used only for scientific purposes, many voices warn about two special points: the agreement doesn't clarify is the operations are being run by civil or military Chinese personnel, and the the Chinese space program is run by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). The Patagonian deep space station is managed by the China Satellite Launch and Tracking Control General (CLTC), who reports to the PLA’s Strategic Support Force.
Answered by Ricardo Ferrer Picado, and has been reviewed by Hernan Alberro
Explore Argentina >Philippines
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
China is forcing its way to the South China Sea by building military bases in features within the exclusive economic zone of the Philippines, without a bilateral agreement between the two countries. Currently, China has effective control and has built structures in eight features in the South China Sea in Philippine EEZ — Cuarteron Reef, Fiery Cross Reef, Gaven Reefs, Hughes Reef, Johnson Reef, Mischief Reef, Subi Reef and Scarborough Shoal. Developments in construction activities were last monitored in six of the features in October last year. Therefore, this Indicator deserves a “Yes” response.
- https://globalnation.inquirer.net/207984/new-photos-of-china-made-islands-in-spratlys-show-scale-of-military-buildup
- https://www.benarnews.org/english/news/philippine/china-scs-artificial-islands-10312022134227.html
- https://amti.csis.org/island-tracker/china/
Supplementary Notes
China has took over six of the features within the Philippines' EEZ in the South China Sea since 1988. China gained control of Mischief Reef in 1994. There are no structures built on Scarborough Shoal, but the feature is effectively controlled by China, which has maintained a constant coast guard presence at the feature since 2012.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 2 anonymous experts.
Explore Philippines >Thailand
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
The U.S. Department of Defense and intelligence reports list Thailand as a potential site for Chinese military facilities, noted in the Pentagon’s October report and the February intelligence assessment. This aligns with China’s regional expansion, such as its presence at Cambodia’s Ream base, and its plan for five overseas bases and ten support sites by 2030 under "Project 141," aimed at safeguarding economic interests and extending military reach in Southeast Asia.
- https://breakingdefense.com/2024/07/chinas-newest-military-base-is-up-and-running-and-us-officials-see-more-of-them-on-the-horizon/
- https://media.defense.gov/2023/Oct/19/2003323409/-1/-1/1/2023-MILITARY-AND-SECURITY-DEVELOPMENTS-INVOLVING-THE-PEOPLES-REPUBLIC-OF-CHINA.PDF
Supplementary Notes
Reports of China's presence at the Ream Naval Base on the Gulf of Thailand could significantly expand its military footprint in the Indo-Pacific region. Such a presence would mark a notable extension of China’s military access in the region, as the base lies approximately 200 kilometers off Thailand’s east coast. This development raises strategic concerns for neighboring countries, including Thailand, as it could shift the regional balance of power. Link
Answered by Pravit Rojanaphruk, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Thailand >Myanmar
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Reports indicated the development of infrastructure potentially intended for military purposes on Coco Island, a remote island under military control, possibly involving China. Coco Island is situated in the Yangon region, approximately 414 km (257 mi) south of Yangon city.
- https://www.chathamhouse.org/publications/the-world-today/2023-04/myanmar-building-spy-base-great-coco-island
- https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/may/01/military-construction-on-myanmars-great-coco-island-prompts-fears-of-chinese-involvement .
- https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/chinese-spy-bases-myanmar-s-great-coco-island-here-we-go-again
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 2 anonymous experts.
Explore Myanmar >Mozambique
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Mozambique has been listed among other countrries in which the PRC may have considered establishing a base.
- https://www.gmfus.org/news/chinas-military-diplomacy-and-its-quest-bases-abroad
- https://media.defense.gov/2023/Oct/19/2003323409/-1/-1/1/2023-MILITARY-AND-SECURITY-DEVELOPMENTS-INVOLVING-THE-PEOPLES-REPUBLIC-OF-CHINA.PDF
- https://docs.aiddata.org/reports/harboring-global-ambitions/Harboring_Global_Ambitions.html
Answered by Tomé Bambo, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Mozambique >Indonesia
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Speculations exist about China considering a military base in Indonesia. US reports suggest this, but no official confirmation from Beijing. Indonesia maintains a neutral stance.
Answered by Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat, and has been reviewed by Yeta Purnama
Explore Indonesia >Cambodia
Yes
Answer ( 4 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Yes, there has been ample discussion of the Ream Naval Base question and the base has continued to develop with Chinese support and Chinese official visits during the period in question.
Answered by Bradley J. Murg, and has been reviewed by another 2 anonymous experts.
Explore Cambodia >Georgia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Valeri Chechelashvili, and has been reviewed by Ani Kintsurashvili
Explore Georgia >Latvia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Una Aleksandra Berzina-Cerenkova, and has been reviewed by Ani Kintsurashvili
Explore Latvia >Armenia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Supplementary Notes
Armenian's perspective: China's military base in Syunik will secure Armenia and Artsakh Link Armenian Nationalist want China base: Link
- https://realtribune.ru/voennaya-baza-kitaya-v-sjunike-obezopasit-armeniju-i-arcah/
- http://kavkazplus.com/en/news.php?id=8647#.YKt7-JMzZo4
Answered by Artak Kyurumyan, and has been reviewed by Ani Kintsurashvili
Explore Armenia >Azerbaijan
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Supplementary Notes
No new evidence was found.
Answered by 2 anonymous experts, and has been reviewed by Aksana Akhmedova
Explore Azerbaijan >Kazakhstan
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Danil Bekturganov and Tatyana Sedova, and has been reviewed by Aksana Akhmedova
Explore Kazakhstan >Uzbekistan
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Farkhod Tolipov, and has been reviewed by Ani Kintsurashvili
Explore Uzbekistan >Kyrgyzstan
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Supplementary Notes
China is seriously concerned about opening a military base to protect its borders. Perhaps the gaze of the Celestial Empire will turn to other territories. Will the Kyrgyz Republic become one of them? Moreover, we have, to put it mildly, "small" obligations to China. A domestic political scientist expressed skepticism about this possibility. According to Mars Sariev, the public will react very harshly, even to rumors about its construction on the territory of the republic. Link
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Ani Kintsurashvili
Explore Kyrgyzstan >Jordan
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Supplementary Notes
No evidence was found.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Aksana Akhmedova
Explore Jordan >Egypt
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Supplementary Notes
Contrary to the U.S. dependency on multiple overseas naval bases, China has just one military base in Djibouti. Link
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Aksana Akhmedova
Explore Egypt >Lebanon
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Supplementary Notes
No evidence was found.
Answered by 2 anonymous experts, and has been reviewed by Aksana Akhmedova
Explore Lebanon >Belarus
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Ani Kintsurashvili
Explore Belarus >Mongolia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Dulamkhorloo Baatar, and has been reviewed by Ani Kintsurashvili
Explore Mongolia >Mexico
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Due to the strong linkages in security field between the US and Mexico, there is no prove that suggest China is interested in develop a Military Base in Mexico. There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Team Fundación Andrés Bello - Centro de Investigación Chino Latinoamericano
Explore Mexico >Peru
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Supplementary Notes
To date, the media indicate that there is an intention by China to establish a base in Argentine Patagonia. However, the United States government considers that the future port of Chancay in Peru, under construction by the Chinese company Cosco Shipping Ports, could be used as a resupply point for Chinese government warships.
Answered by Jack Lo Lau and Jorge Jesús Chávez Ortíz, and has been reviewed by Team Fundación Andrés Bello - Centro de Investigación Chino Latinoamericano
Explore Peru >Venezuela
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Despite the good military cooperation between China and Venezuela, the PRC authorities have not expressed any intention to establish a miliatry base in Venezuela. For that reason, there is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
- https://fundacionandresbello.org/noticias/venezuela-%F0%9F%87%BB%F0%9F%87%AA/china-rusia-e-iran-muestran-su-fuerza-militar-en-venezuela/
- https://www.expedientepublico.org/china-pone-en-la-mira-a-cuba-nicaragua-y-el-salvador
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Team Fundación Andrés Bello - Centro de Investigación Chino Latinoamericano
Explore Venezuela >Chile
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Chile only has one military based with forreign control and it is an American base, located in Fuerte Aguayo, Concón (5 km away from my home)
Answered by Sascha Hannig Núñez, and has been reviewed by Team Fundación Andrés Bello - Centro de Investigación Chino Latinoamericano
Explore Chile >Ecuador
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by Paúl Mena Mena, and has been reviewed by Team Fundación Andrés Bello - Centro de Investigación Chino Latinoamericano
Explore Ecuador >Colombia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon
Supplementary Notes
There is no evidence of this and it is very unlikely to happen because of the strong and close ties, particularly military ones, with the United States.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Team Fundación Andrés Bello - Centro de Investigación Chino Latinoamericano
Explore Colombia >Gambia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
no
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Gambia >Algeria
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
No evidence of that
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Filip Noubel
Explore Algeria >France
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Filip Noubel
Explore France >Bangladesh
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
China has said that it will not build any military base in Bangladesh or any other foreign land.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Filip Noubel
Explore Bangladesh >Lithuania
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Konstantinas Andrijauskas, and has been reviewed by Vida Mačikėnaitė-Ambutavičienė and Linas Didvalis
Explore Lithuania >Bulgaria
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by Rumena Filipova, and has been reviewed by Matej Šimalčík
Explore Bulgaria >Austria
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
No evidence to suggest this is the case.
Answered by 2 anonymous experts, and has been reviewed by Alfred Gerstl
Explore Austria >Hungary
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Kristina Kironska
Explore Hungary >Belgium
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Richard Turcsányi
Explore Belgium >Bosnia and Herzegovina
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Not a case in Bosnia
Answered by Stefan Vladisavljev and 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Kristina Kironska
Explore Bosnia and Herzegovina >Slovakia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by Matej Šimalčík, and has been reviewed by Richard Turcsányi
Explore Slovakia >Sweden
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
No evidence to suggest otherwise.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Richard Turcsányi
Explore Sweden >Denmark
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Not since a Chinese investor attempted to take over an abandoned marine station in Greenland in 2016.
Answered by 2 anonymous experts, and has been reviewed by Kristina Kironska
Explore Denmark >Ireland
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 2 anonymous experts, and has been reviewed by Richard Turcsányi
Explore Ireland >Albania
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observationof the indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Albania >Montenegro
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Montenegro >Serbia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Serbia >Greece
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Greece >North Macedonia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore North Macedonia >Turkey
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Turkey >Iceland
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Iceland >Portugal
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Portugal >Romania
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Romania is an EU and NATO member state and there have never been such reports or rumors about possible PRC bases
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Mădălina Voinea and Sorin Ionita
Explore Romania >Moldova
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Moldova is a neutral country and the Constitution does not allow foreign bases on Moldovan soil
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Mădălina Voinea and Sorin Ionita
Explore Moldova >Italy
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Mădălina Voinea and Sorin Ionita
Explore Italy >Netherlands
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Mădălina Voinea and Sorin Ionita
Explore Netherlands >Ukraine
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Mădălina Voinea and Sorin Ionita
Explore Ukraine >Spain
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Hernan Alberro, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Spain >Nicaragua
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Hernan Alberro, and has been reviewed by Javier Melendez
Explore Nicaragua >Bolivia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Hernan Alberro, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Bolivia >Paraguay
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by Hernan Alberro, and has been reviewed by Julieta Heduvan
Explore Paraguay >Afghanistan
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There were rumors but no evidence.
Answered by Rahimullah Kakar, and has been reviewed by Niva Yau
Explore Afghanistan >Turkmenistan
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Turkmenistan established itself as a permanently neutral state in 1995.
Answered by Temur Umarov, and has been reviewed by Niva Yau
Explore Turkmenistan >India
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon
- https://www.livemint.com/news/india/india-china-hold-20th-round-of-military-talks-no-clear-indication-of-breakthrough-11697041446022.html
- https://web.archive.org/web/20240117165948/https://www.livemint.com/news/india/india-china-hold-20th-round-of-military-talks-no-clear-indication-of-breakthrough-11697041446022.html
Supplementary Notes
The 2020 border clashes happened due to PRC's encroachment of Indian terrority and establishing forward points which can be construed as basing though not in the tradtional sense and as such this indicator deserves a "no" response. Such encroachment and establishment of forward points is related to border disputes rather than basing.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore India >Nigeria
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
However, there are concerns that one may be built.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Nigeria >South Africa
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore South Africa >Senegal
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Senegal >Ethiopia
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Ethiopia >Singapore
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There are no known PRC requessts for basing in the public domain. However, the People's Liberation Army Navy predically makes port calls in Singapore.
- https://www.iseas.edu.sg/media/commentaries/will-china-establish-military-bases-in-southeast-asia/
- https://www.todayonline.com/singapore/singapore-china-hold-joint-naval-exercise-amid-routine-port-call-us-submarine-2161261
- https://www.imdexasia.com/imdex/pop-up-pages/newsbyte/media-releases/2023/imdex-asia-2023-returns-with-robust-international-participation
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXdTSmhqyJ8
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Singapore >Taiwan
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
Answer
Skip
No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Taiwan would not allow PRC to set military basing as it is a military hostile country to Taiwan.
- https://www.reuters.com/article/us-taiwan-defence-idUSKBN2BB16V
- https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-34729538
Supplementary Notes
China has viewed Taiwan as its breakaway province since KMT lost the civil war and fled to the island in 1949. And it has ramped up military activities in recent months, seeking to assert its sovereignty. The BBC article gives an overall description of the conflict between China and Taiwan.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Taiwan >Brazil
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Not Found
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Brazil >Czech Republic
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No
Yes
Not Found
Answered by 2 anonymous experts, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Czech Republic >Estonia
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Estonia >Poland
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Poland >Vietnam
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Supporting Evidence
Despite the fact that China has established a number of industrial and commercial zones in Vietnam, a Chinese military base in Vietnam is highly unlikely as China constitutes a potential security threat for Vietnam.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Vietnam >Nepal
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by Sriparna Pathak, and has been reviewed by Amish Mulmi
Explore Nepal >Russia
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Not Found
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 3 anonymous experts.
Explore Russia >New Zealand
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Supporting Evidence
none
Answered by Catherine Churchman, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore New Zealand >Zimbabwe
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by Ernest Mudzengi, and has been reviewed by Andronicus Sikula and Dr. Obert Hodzi
Explore Zimbabwe >Democratic Republic of the Congo
No
Answer ( 0 / 4 )
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Andronicus Sikula and Christian Rumu
Explore Democratic Republic of the Congo >Malaysia
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No
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Supporting Evidence
I don't have information or evidence on this.
Answered by 2 anonymous experts, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Malaysia >Timor-Leste
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Yes
Supporting Evidence
Both China and Timor-Leste deny of any security or military partnerships on military base, or PLA.
- https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3237435/china-declined-build-security-outpost-east-timor-out-respect-australian-sensitivities-ramos-horta
- https://www.laprensalatina.com/timor-leste-rules-out-hosting-chinese-military-bases
Answered by 2 anonymous experts, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Timor-Leste >Uruguay
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the indicator phenomenon.
Answered by Ricardo Ferrer Picado, and has been reviewed by Hernan Alberro
Explore Uruguay >El Salvador
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the indicator phenomenon.
Answered by Eric Lemus, and has been reviewed by Julio Martinez and Alvaro Cruz
Explore El Salvador >Uganda
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Answer
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by Abdou Rahim Lema, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Uganda >Angola
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Answer
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Angola >Japan
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Not Found
Answered by Yuki Moritarni, and has been reviewed by Maiko Ichihara and Ryohei Suzuki
Explore Japan >South Korea
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
We are unable to find any source which indicates it
Answered by Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat, and has been reviewed by Yeta Purnama
Explore South Korea >Saudi Arabia
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
We are unable to find any source which indicates it
Answered by Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat, and has been reviewed by Yeta Purnama
Explore Saudi Arabia >Qatar
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is a discussion that China intends to establish base in the wider Middle East, but not specifically in Qatar
Answered by Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat, and has been reviewed by Yeta Purnama
Explore Qatar >Canada
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
No observation of this phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Terry Glavin
Explore Canada >United States
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
There is no observation of the Indicator phenomenon.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore United States >Germany
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Not Found
Answered by Angela Stanzel, and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Germany >United Kingdom
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Supporting Evidence
No publicly available evidence to support this statement.
Answered by Leo Shaw, and has been reviewed by Sam Dunning and Andrew Yeh
Explore United Kingdom >Australia
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
No publicly available evidence to support this claim in the affirmative.
Answered by Leo Shaw, and has been reviewed by Kevin Mooney and Andrew Yeh
Explore Australia >Israel
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Supporting Evidence
According to sources in the IDF, there is no indication of that.
Answered by The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), and has been reviewed by another 1 anonymous expert.
Explore Israel >Costa Rica
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Answer
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No
Yes
Supporting Evidence
Publicly there is no evidence, but it is not known whether at the diplomatic level such a possibility has been mentioned. Therefore, while the local experts have observed the Indicator phenomena, they cannot provide the necessary documentary evidence to answer the Indicator in the affirmative.
Answered by 1 anonymous expert, and has been reviewed by Team Fundación Andrés Bello - Centro de Investigación Chino Latinoamericano
Explore Costa Rica >
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